Archive for October 11th, 2008

Profit Maximization V. Survival Maximization

Written by on Saturday, October 11th, 2008 in Uncategorized.

A lot of criticism has been aimed at venture capitalists the last few days. The VCs are telling their portfolio companies to get ahead of the curve and conserve cash right now, and companies are starting to take their advice.

The criticism is coming from people who don’t understand that the world has changed in the last week and that companies need to change with it. And so they’re asking why VCs waited until now to tell everyone to conserve cash. Others are saying the boom is the VCs fault, and for them to lecture companies on conserving cash is ironic.

Fred Wilson wrote about this issue today and says VCs have a responsibility to give their best advice to their portfolio companies: “It’s all about acting responsibly and making sure we all survive to fight another day.”

But he doesn’t address the issue head on. I will. What we’re talking about is the goal of profit maximization, which is what every for profit business needs to aim for or go out of business. In the good times, that means growing intelligently. In the bad, it means maximizing your chances of survival.

Irrational Argument No. 1: The VCs Made This Happen

First, the downturn has nothing to do with the venture capitalists (in fact, it has nothing to do with Silicon Valley, this time). They have one job: generate the best return they legally can from their investors’ money. In boom times deals get competitive and VCs make independent decisions on what deals to bid for. Companies also have to pay more for people, resources, office space and advertising in boom times, which means they spend more money and have to raise more money. If you think venture capitalists are being irresponsible (or worse, evil) by investing money in those companies that they think are good bets, you’re just not getting how the whole system works.

Let me put it this way - if VCs ignored the economy and always invested super conservatively so that no one could accuse them of being irresponsible, they’d go out of business after their first fund failed to return capital to investors.

Irrational Argument No. 2: VCs Should Have Told Companies To Conserve Cash All Along

This is another argument that ignores the fact that people try to adapt to a changing world. At all times companies need to profit maximize. That means maximizing revenue and minimizing costs. Those goals are not aligned, however. Sometimes a company spends money on research and development to create future revenue streams. How much they spend is based on their own rational decisions on their financial health, the state of the economy, and their projections for the demand of a new product.

In good times, when core businesses are relatively safe, it makes sense to expand by hiring new people and developing new products. Or spending money on advertising and PR.

When times are tough, companies have to change strategies. They’re still maximizing profits, but they need to plan for tighter capital markets (really important to unprofitable startups) and harder revenue as advertising and other spending decreases.

Just like a bear in the woods (I imagine) has to slow its activity in the Winter as food supplies dwindle, startups need to go into cash conservation mode to increase their chances of survival when the market slows. They need to be prepared for a hit in revenue, and they know they can’t necessarily go to the capital markets to get money to stay in business.

But to argue that a company should always cut costs to the bare minimum is the same thing as asking that bear to act like it’s Winter in the Spring, because someday Winter is going to happen. All you end up with is a dead bear.

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Source: TechCrunch
Original Article: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/Techcrunch/~3/Cgk0oISSiS8/

Forget the Front Desk: Hotels Go High Tech

Written by on Saturday, October 11th, 2008 in Uncategorized.

There’s nothing like a bit of luxury when staying at a nice hotel. Be it in-room dining or the staff waiting on your every need, feeling like a king for a day is a matter of taking advantage of the hotel’s services. Unfortunately, the systems in place for requesting such things are years behind, teetering on the edge of archaic. You can stare at the minuscule writing on the phone handset in hopes that dialing the listed numbers won’t throw you into an infinite loop of forwards and “accidental” hang ups or, at some hotels, you can click your way through a sluggish and ancient feeling TV interface. They may as well be using pneumatic tubes.

Runtriz, a software firm out of Hollywood, CA, is aiming to bring hotels up to speed. Following a series of quiet test runs at other LA hotels, they’ve debuted a product called “Hotel Evolution” at the Malibu Beach Inn in Malibu, CA. When a guest checks into the hotel, they’re asked if they have an iPhone or iPod Touch. If they do, the hotel staff will load the Runtriz Hotel web application to the device. If they don’t, they’re given a 16gb iPod Touch (with the application pre-loaded, of course) to keep for the duration of their stay.

Once you’ve punched in your room number and security code, all of the hotel’s service offerings are but a click away. Straight from the device’s screen, you can order room service, set a wake up call, request your luggage, dry cleaning, or car (or if you’re going all out, a limo), request linens or toiletries, check your messages, or set your room to “Do Not Disturb”. They also provide information about nearby nightlife, attractions, and shopping.

Rather than attempting to jailbreak each and every guest’s iPhone or brave their way through Apple’s app store approval process, they opted to go with a web application. Beyond simplifying installation, this also allows them to upgrade and maintain the application remotely by modifying the site, without any sort of manual upgrades required on the hotel’s end. It also facilitates portability; when they add support for other platforms (such as Android, or BlackBerry) in the future, it’s a matter of simply tweaking the layout for each browser, rather than rewriting an entire application.

The cost of getting such a system up and running varies on a hotel-by-hotel basis. According to Matt Allard, president of Runtriz, the cost of the first month is generally about double that of the standard monthly fee of $10 per room.

While I like the idea already, where it truly flourishes is in its scalability. At the launch party, I overheard talks of migrating the idea to a sports arena, or otherwise extending it beyond the realm of hotels - still good ideas, but the concept can extend far beyond implementation at individual locations. Imagine in just a few years, when all of the major browsers will likely be location-aware (via a “This website wants to know your location” security prompt), and more consumers are comfortable and familiar with the idea of location based services on mobile handsets. Something like this could be a full-blown concierge for your life, adapting its offerings based on your location. It could offer the basics regardless of where you are, but step into an established (via partnership) geofence, and the functionality expands to include location-specific options, with the application icon lighting up to alert you of the changes. It wouldn’t happen overnight (current technical limitations aside, it would require a ton of partnerships to be truly useful), but I imagine such things making our lives a whole lot easier within the foreseeable future.

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Source: TechCrunch
Original Article: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/Techcrunch/~3/ofu7gB9wTpw/

Twitter to IM: Drop Dead

Written by on Saturday, October 11th, 2008 in Uncategorized.

It took a worldwide financial meltdown for Twitter to finally cough up the IM hairball. At BearHug Camp, I spent about 10 of the 30 minute executive visitation trying to pin down Jack Dorsey, Biz Stone, and Alex Payne on when exactly Track and IM would be back, and in what order. Turns out the IM part isn’t coming back; it’s been moved from Broken to Build.

Evan Williams delivers the bad news with a refreshing frankness, suggesting the ROI of IM services for a small percentage of Twitter users puts it down the list below other more pressing priorities. And at the bottom of the email, he points at a fledgling third-party service that gives you a way of “tweeting” over the Jabber XMPP gateway. The author is mulling how to provide access to users’ follows. No mention is made of Track, of course.

Source: TechCrunch
Original Article: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/Techcrunch/~3/KH5P2-VwCqY/

Where are we going?

Written by on Saturday, October 11th, 2008 in Uncategorized.


I believe that there are really only two questions: Where have we been and where are we going? Lamentably we all know where we have been, as the events of this week have made themselves self-evident to everyone save except those who are willfully ignorant. And I will be the first to admit that I have no clue where we are going and that is possibly the scariest aspect of the times we live in. Anyone who proclaims to know where we are headed, save for perhaps a belief that there are dark times ahead, might as well be proclaiming that he or she knows what the the new new thing of Web 3.0 will be.

So, what can start-ups do right now? Well Ron Conway, Benchmark Capital, and Sequoia have pretty clear ideas, as do any number of bloggers and pundits. But honestly the two most compelling answers to the question, besides staying informed (and for that I highly recommend the Planet Money Podcast), have come from entrepreneurs who I really respect: Tim O’Reilly and Dave McClure. O’Reilly is right to say to would-be and current entrepreneurs to build stuff that people care about. The reason for doing so is because building things that people care about is one and the same with building stuff that people will pay for. While he never says this explicitly, it sounds like O’Reilly wants to see more start-ups like 37Signals, which has hosted solutions for the enterprise space that are freemium, viral, stable, secure, and most importantly, useful. That makes people want to take out their credit cards and pay every month to use the service. Yammer, for all its faults, has this going for it. This is great advice, as too many people drank too much of the advertising supported model punch and started to believe their own hype that they could build platforms and products with no thought of an offering’s use value and value proposition to the consumer.

Dave McClure, of 500Hats fame and an all around stand-up guy, also wrote a great answer to the question of what start-ups can do in the current situation. His answer is to stare all the collective fear, uncertainty, and anxiousness down, while figuring out a real business model and getting back to work. In a way that only Dave can, he debunks the get rich quick myth that many people who live and work in Silicon Valley take as a given. He reminds all of us who are in this business of why we are in it - for a love of technology, for the hard work, and for doing something new, original, and outside of the corporate world. Now that the air is out of the balloon, Dave’s message of hard work is more appropriate than ever. Building the next new horizontal social network is not enough to justify a 10X exit, nor should it have ever been. Too many people believed that Web 2.0 was just a land grab. But, by the time this became clear the first movers already had staked their claims. Now that the hot air has cleared, lets follow Dave’s advise and let necessity be the mother of invention.

So, to all those who are trying to spend the weekend recoiling from the unmitigated disaster that was Wall Street this week, listen to Tim and Dave, and do not be scared to work hard on business plans that actually turn into products and services that companies and individuals will want to pay for. If the offering is good, even in bad times you will find buyers. Perhaps that is where the tech community needs to go.

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Source: TechCrunch
Original Article: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/Techcrunch/~3/Uh26rBAv_3w/

We are witnessing either an epic financial meltdown or a long overdue resetting of existing business practices and the hollow markets they create. Or, perhaps we’re experiencing both of these phenomena. Either way, it has the nation gripped with fear, uncertainty, and an unsettling eruption of questionable advice confusing everyone, everywhere.

While the floor is crumbling for many industries much in the same way it did for Silicon Valley during the dotbomb years, the sky isn’t necessarily falling on the startup industry – at least not for those with marketable technology or products, dedicated and capable teams, an executable business plan, and access to the resources necessary to help it reach users and customers.

For those startups that are building and marketing something of value for consumers or businesses, there is much work to do. While there is always a need to attract mainstream users, this isn’t the time to stretch or over-commit resources to hit everyone all at once. Branding is an expensive proposition, one that requires time, capital, diligence, dedicated teams, enthusiastic customers, and patience. As counter intuitive as it may seem, this is exactly the right time to market into the echo chamber to earn the support of influentials who will create significant, concentrated brand visibility and momentum to carry you forward.

Your business can grow with the groundswell and doesn’t necessarily require the instant adoption by the masses in order to succeed in the short term.

Usually, when the economy slides, the first natural reaction is to cut expenses, conserve cash, and hunker-down to weather the storm.  All good advice.  But don’t forget also that this could be your time to shine, albeit, in a strategic and intelligent way.

Great entrepreneurs build value and market-share in down markets. They go to work seven days a week and the(y) breakout when other folks check out.Jason Calacanis

Now’s the time to get your head in the game and focus on what it is you do, and go do it better than anyone else. You’re either on the field or you’re on the sidelines.

Any company that intentionally pulls itself from the radar screen of their customers will be absent from customer decisions and referrals. In the process, you create a frictionless opportunity for your competitors to swoop in and fill the void.

There are always customers making decisions, so make sure that you’re part of the equation and process, wherever they go for information and insight.

Influence and adoption historically have migrated from the edge to the center. Or using a more common example, customers and word-of-mouth referrals travel from left to right along a bell curve that starts with Innovators and Early Adopters, peaks with the Early Majority and the Late Majority, and finally permeates with reaction from Laggards.

If you dissect the art and science of technology marketing using a car as a simple metaphor, your product serves as the chassis, your cash as the fuel, Social Media, Interactive/Web, Sales, SEO, and PR as the accelerator, marketing strategy and execution as the gears, RPMs as a market indicator for listening and responding, the speedometer to convey inertia, and you, as founding executive, sitting in the driver’s seat, steering and controlling the entire operation.

Marketing to the echo chamber, believe it or not, is how you get that car rolling, starting everything in first gear. Appealing to those who can help spark word of mouth is how you can accelerate, gain enough speed to shift into second, and subsequent higher gears, and attract new users and evangelists along the way, growing in distance and reach at every turn. It is the echo chamber that can help you efficiently gain velocity in order to progressively reach greater audiences and command additional financing and also revenue in the process. With its support and assistance, it is almost like starting with a colossal push.

You have to start by engaging those who’ll get it, and in turn, share it with their peers. It’s an ongoing process that strengthens with each cycle.

Hopefully you are building your business in a way that is independent of the stock market.
Kevin Ryan

The world doesn’t flock to new things en masse. It takes a focused and progressive strategy that evolves and matures over time. In a down economy, this is non-negotiable.

Digg and Twitter are among some of the best examples of how alpha users can help promote a company or service by embracing these new solutions and religiously demonstrating why they are pervasive and useful. And, emphatic users also contribute to the community building process, assisting in the translation of the value proposition for different markets as well as enticing and compelling their peers to join them, which offsets and relieves the company from carrying the bulk of the responsibility for promotion and guerilla marketing.

But, where are Digg and Twitter in respect to the adoption cycle? They’re not as far along as you think judging by the buzz and permeation of your social graph. These companies still have oceans to swim until they become household brands. But, that’s OK. They’re building a business, cultivating legions of dedicated user communities, evolving and improving their product, and still conserving cash. Remember, it took brands such as eBay, Youtube, Google, and Amazon hundreds of millions of dollars and armies of enthusiasts and partners to achieve saturation – and many would argue that there’s still much work to be done.

I would bet on any company that earned the support of innovators and early adopters and took the time to listen to feedback in order to iterate based on real world needs, preferences, pains, and new ideas.

Without influence, you’re going to spend precious resources, more than you can afford, convincing people that they should pay attention. Peer-to-peer marketing is priceless and still your best bet for having a shot, and more importantly, making a long-term impact.

But you first need a spark, something to start that avalanche that grows as it races downhill.

The echo chamber is bigger than we think or give it credit for. In fact, think of the echo chamber as its own bell curve. Most of the blogs and users that naturally come to mind, may reside on the left side, leaving a wide array of technology enthusiasts to uncover and pursue.

Innovators and early adopters are global citizens and do not solely reside in Silicon Valley. Figure out who your market is today, tomorrow, next month, and set goals for user acquisition so that you can tweak your product and tailor your messages to those very people, as they’ll uniquely connect to your story, and also share it differently among their peers, as it traverses across the bell curve.

Remember, reporters, bloggers and online tastemakers (aka trendsetters) who spotlight innovation can send tens of thousands of new and loyal users to you almost instantly. I’m not just referring to unique visits of those who sign up, test things out, and then leave to try the next shiny service. When done right, the echo chamber can generate real world interest and support. It is these very users who tell you everything about what works, what doesn’t, and how to improve. These same individuals and networks also augment and complement your marketing efforts by legitimizing you’re products, associating credibility and providing pseudo endorsements, and in turn, giving you unprecedented access to their invaluable and highly connected networks of early adopter friends.

This is the time to focus on user acquisition. This is edgework. Everything starts with an intimate understanding of the markets you’re trying to reach and an even deeper connection to the peers, voices, and other channels that influence them. Most of you are not marketing iPhones, gaming consoles, premium spirits, or new music artists. At the very least, you are redefining how people communicate, collaborate, connect, and ultimately work.

There’s a prevailing necessity to educate your markets and introduce not just new products and services, but also change the daily routines of everyday people.

Therefore the goal to race from zero to 60 and hit mass penetration immediately is not necessarily the primary goal. If we look at business development and communications as a series of strategic stages, we realize that there are focused activities that we must pursue and smaller, reachable voices we must reach and convince to help us carry and adapt our story from stage to stage – each time, addressing the needs and pain points of the individual, respective groups.

Of course, as you learn, internalize feedback, change, adapt, and engage with your markets, the foundation for your business solidifies and begins to afford and beget expansion. It is at this point in time, when you can continue to expand your focus and reach to attract and inspire users residing outside of the echo chamber.

Nothing beats a killer product idea and an impressive, objective, and focused team to carry it forward. Expectations count and will determine how you channel information and progress. Think too big and you’ll miss your target and burn through resources before you can ever earn any significant market traction. Aim too low and the market will pass you by.

In this volatile economic climate, the echo chamber can be your direct connection to success, or at the very least, help to kickstart market adoption of your products. It is a global incubator designed to help you grow, gain momentum, and ultimately propel your business across the bell curve to appeal to and attract a wider, active base of customers.

We live in interesting times and it’s up to us, and only us, to define our future.

(Photo by Wetwebworks).

Crunch Network: CrunchBoard because it’s time for you to find a new Job2.0

Source: TechCrunch
Original Article: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/Techcrunch/~3/CXJerCl3aSY/

When you are suffering from a chronic disease, sometimes the only people who can understand what you are going through are other people with the same condition. But when that condition is rare, it can be difficult to find them. WeAre.Us wants to help. It is a platform of 16 social networks that connect people with chronic illnesses. And it just launched a revamped version (which mainly features an improved user interface). The site entered the crowded health 2.0 market last April, but stands out with its focused internal framework and commitment to supporting the patients who use it.

In contrast to health platforms like DailyStrength or Revolution Health, which serve as a contact point for health-related topics of any kind, WeAre.Us connects people affected by severe illnesses only. In that sense, it is more like PatientsLikeMe.  But rather than create an all-encompassing site, WeAre.Us decided to take more of a niche social network approach.

Given that these patients deserve special attention, the company decided to set up separate sites with individual domain names. The subsites, such as WeAreFibro.org (for users suffering from fibromyalgia, a chronic pain disorder) or WeAreCrohns.org (Crohn’s is a gastric disease), run on the same core engine but are independent from each other.

WeAre.Us tries to avoid Ning-like scattering effects by allowing users to create communities only if more more than 1,000 members can be expected. CMO Robert Patterson says another differentiator is the active, individualized support the company provides all WeAre.Us members.

The approach seems to work: While Ning has over 50 Crohn’s-based (mostly inactive) micro social networks, for example, WeAre.Us’ single Crohn’s community boasts over 2,000 members. One weakness is the lack of a cross network ID and profile system (such as that used by Ning).  But according to Patterson, demand for such a system is so far almost non-existent.

The site’s 16 social networks are being monetized by a full sponsorship model (one sponsor per site per month) and a lead generation system: WeAre.Us collects anonymized health data from its users and passes it on to pharma companies, which can cut costs on recruiting suitable patients for clinical trials.

WeAre.Us’ strategy of self-controlled sites, vertical focus, unique branding for each interest group, and human-powered user support is paying off so far: The user base, while still small, currently grows 35% month-over-month (expecting to pass the 10,000 member mark this month), with each member spending two hours on the site per visit.

WeAre.Us will also soon officially announce it took the first prize in the premiere VenCorps Community Driven Capital Contest ($50,000 in cash and accolades), which is backed by New York-based private equity firm Spencer Trask. (VenCorps, for those who follow these things, is what emerged from the now-defunct Cambrian House).

Crunch Network: CrunchBoard because it’s time for you to find a new Job2.0

Source: TechCrunch
Original Article: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/Techcrunch/~3/Q_18wT3Ro78/

This Week in HTML 5: Web Forms 2, Search, and more

Written by on Saturday, October 11th, 2008 in Uncategorized.

In Mark’s eighth roundup of HTML 5 land, he delves into the merging of Web Forms 2, which gives us fun things like:

Then Mark discusses input type=”search”:

Andy Lyttle wants to standardize one particular feature of <input type=”search”> (which is already supported by Safari, but not standardized): placeholder text for input fields. The text would initially display in the input field (possibly in a stylized form, smaller font, or lighter color), then disappear when the field receives focus. Lots of sites use Javascript to achieve this effect, but it is surprisingly difficult to get right, in part because no one can quite agree on exactly how it should work. Mozilla Firefox displays the name of your current search engine in its dedicated search box until you focus the search box, at which point it blanks out and allows you to type. Safari’s search box is initially blank (at least on Windows), and only displays the name of your default search engine after it has received focus and lost it again. Google Chrome’s “omnibox” displays “Type to search”, right-justified, even when the omnibox has focus, then removes it after you’ve typed a single character. Adding an <input placeholder> attribute would allow each browser on each platform to match their users’ expectations (and possibly even allow end-user customization) of how placeholder text should work for web forms. Discussion threads: 1, 2, 3. So far, there is no consensus on whether this should be added to HTML 5, or what the markup would look like.

And, he finishes with some interesting posts:

Source: Ajaxian » Front Page
Original Article: http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/ajaxian/~3/417505417/this-week-in-html-5-e8



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